Tuesday, September 03, 2013

Obama wins backing for military strike

 

President Obama has won backing on his plans for a military strike on Syria. Mr Obama said a "limited" strike was needed to degrade President Bashar al-Assad's capabilities in response to an alleged chemical weapons attack. Key Republican leaders John Boehner and Eric Cantor both voiced their support for military action. Congress is expected to vote next week.

The UN earlier confirmed that more than two million Syrians were now refugees. More than 100,000 people are thought to have died since the uprising against President Assad began in March 2011.

President Obama and Vice-President Joe Biden met House Speaker John Boehner, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi and the chairmen and ranking members from the national security committees in Washington on Tuesday.

Mr Boehner said he supported Mr Obama's call for action, and that only the US had the capacity to stop President Assad. Mr Boehner urged his colleagues in Congress to follow suit. Mr Cantor, the House of Representatives majority leader, said he also backed Mr Obama. The Virginia Republican said: "Assad's Syria, a state sponsor of terrorism, is the epitome of a rogue state, and it has long posed a direct threat to American interests and to our partners."

Mr Obama said that Mr Assad had to be held accountable for the chemical attack and that he was confident Congress would back him. He said he was proposing military action that would degrade President Assad's capacity to use chemical weapons "now and in the future".
"What we are envisioning is something limited. It is something proportional," the president said.
"At the same time we have a broader strategy that will allow us to upgrade the capabilities of the opposition."

Secretary of State John Kerry, Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel and the top US military officer, Gen Martin Dempsey, are appearing before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. Mr Kerry told the panel that allies of the US such as Israel and Jordan were "one stiff breeze" away from potentially being hurt by any fresh chemical weapons attacks, and that US inaction would only embolden the Syrian president.
"This is not the time for armchair isolationism," Mr Kerry said. "This is not the time to be spectators to slaughter. Neither our country nor out conscience can afford the cost of silence.
"We have spoken up against unspeakable horror many times in the past. Now we must stand up and act." But Mr Kerry said again that there would be no American boots on the ground in Syria and that President Obama was "not asking America to go to war".

Mr Hagel said that "the word of the United States must mean something" and echoed Mr Kerry when adding: "A refusal to act would undermine the credibility of America's other security commitments, including the president's commitment to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.

John Kerry: "Assad regime unleashed an outrageous chemical attack on its own citizens"

Mr Obama is due to fly to Sweden, ahead of a G20 meeting in Russia later in the week that is sure to be dominated by Syria.

France has strongly backed the US plan for military action. President Francois Hollande said on Tuesday:  "When a chemical massacre takes place, when the world is informed of it, when the evidence is delivered, when the guilty parties are known, then there must be an answer."   He called for Europe to unite on the issue, but said he would wait for the Congress vote. If Congress did not support military action France "would not act alone", he said.

UK Prime Minister David Cameron had also backed Mr Obama, but Parliament rejected a resolution on military action.

Ban Ki-moon: "We must put an end to the atrocities"

On Tuesday, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said that the organization's charter permitted military action only in self defence or with the agreement of the Security Council. Mr Ban said a US military response could create more turmoil, but that if chemical weapons had been used in Syria then the Security Council should unite and take action against what would be "an outrageous war crime".

At the US hearing, Mr Kerry said that if the Security Council did not act, Americans "shouldn't turn our backs and say there is nothing we can do".

The US has put the death toll from the attack on the outskirts of Damascus on 21 August at 1,429, including 426 children, though other countries and organizations have given lower figures. The Syrian government denies any involvement and blames rebels for the attack. In an interview with French newspaper Le Figaro on Monday, President Assad warned that foreign military action could ignite a wider regional conflict.

Earlier, the UN refugee agency said that more than two million Syrians were now registered as refugees, after the total went up by a million in the past six months. It said in a statement: "Syria is haemorrhaging women, children and men who cross borders often with little more than the clothes on their backs." Around half of those forced to leave are children, UN agencies estimate, with about three-quarters of them under 11.  As well as those who have left the country, a further 4.25 million have been displaced within Syria, the UNHCR says, meaning that more people from Syria are now forcibly displaced than from other country.

On Tuesday, Sweden announced it would become the first European country to grant asylum to all Syrian refugees who apply. They will get permanent resident status. Sweden has taken in 14,700 asylum seekers from Syria since 2012.

Some elements of the Syrian chemical weapons complex may be buried underground but large parts of it can easily be seen on satellite images.   Much of it is reasonably close to populated areas - and this is the problem.
Attacking such sites with regular explosive bombs might well wreak considerable damage but it could also open up chemical weapons stocks to the air, disperse them over a large area, and potentially cause large numbers of civilian casualties. The strategy of the much touted "narrow strike" will be the next sticky problem to resolve.

2 comments:

  1. Never back down from a bully. If you do backing down becomes a habit.

    Nothing enrages the muslims more than the United States. I also wondered if this is a strategy to not only call Obama's bluff on the red line comment but create an excuse to attack Israel thus making any rebels traitors to their country.

    This is getting to be a cluster before anything has even happened. One fact remains that we cannot just send in one missile and say, so there and come home. It's nonsense to believe that one narrow strike will be without repercussions.

    The U.N is dragging their feet, China and Russia say the US cannot prove chemical weapons were used, yet Assad obviously cannot prove he didn't. One thing is certain, any way you look at it, Pandora's box will come flying open on this one.

    My humble opinion

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  2. Backing down can surely become a habit. And the bully will surely become braver and more malevolent.

    I don't think the Assad regime is smart enough to think up a strategy like that. I think their drive is more visceral.

    This action will definitely have many and varied repecussions. Not the least of which is individual acts of terrorism all over your country by foreign and home grown terrorists and perhaps in France.
    too.

    The U.N. Security Council has to have nine unanimous votes on anything they do. Five permanent countries have veto power and any one of them can stop proceedings completely. And for the moment, Russia and China have them in a chokehold. There will be no help forthcoming from that quarter.

    Obama will have the backing he wants from congress but he is pretty much alone in this. The big question is, 'What is he going to do'? He has to back up his words with a show of power.

    They know precisely where the chemical agents are stored. The best solution would be to remove the chemicals completely. But I don't think it can be done safely.

    In my awesome opinion

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